The real ASP ratings race tightens as Rip Curl Pro begins

While Kelly Slater will sleep walk his way to a remarkable 11th world title this week in San Francisco, most of the real tour drama is happening in the realm of surfers rated between 20 and 40 on the world rankings, as the race to qualify for next year’s tour approaches its final turn.

Miguel Pupo just gave himself a huge shot in the arm by clinching the Prime rated Cold Water Classic, locking in his place on next year’s tour by having secured more than 27,000 points.

As stated last week, a glance at the current ratings is extremely deceiving because many results being counted toward a surfer’s current status are due to expire before the season ends. In the end, the only points that matter are those that will be there when judgement day arrives, so with that in mind I’ve compiled a list of what the real ASP world rankings look like based on points that each surfer has secured.

To understand what it will take for each surfer to better his position, I’ve also added the number of points they’ll have to earn to move the needle. Some clearly have higher hurdles to climb than others . Any points they manage to net over that hurdle number are secured. Anything less is useless. So here are the REAL ASP World Rankings heading into the Rip Curl Pro…

18. Miguel Pupo has secured 27255 of his current 29711, and needs> 1200 to move the needle.
19. Jadson Andre has secured all 236440 of his current points, and needs> 1750 to move the needle.
20. Tiago Pires has secured 23400 of his current 24450, and needs> 700 to move the needle.
21. Raoni Montero has secured 22150 of his current 28703, and needs> 500 to move the needle.
22. Kolohe Andino has secured all 21745 of his current points, and needs> 1000 to move the needle.
23. Kai Otton has secured all 21650 of his current points, and needs> 1750 to move the needle.
24. John Florence has secured 20775 of his current 23516, and needs> 650 to move the needle.
25. Freddy Patacchia has secured 20664 of his current 22120, and needs> 1200 to move the needle.
26. Brett Simpson has secured 20300 of his current 21600, and needs> 500 to move the needle.
27. Travis Logie has secured 20275 of his current 21117, and needs> 700 to move the needle.
28. Patrick Gudauskas has secured 20220 of his current 20770, and needs> 1200 to move the needle.
29. CJ Hobgood has secured 20000 of his current 21700, and needs> 650 to move the needle.
30. Willian Cardoso has secured all 19790 of his current points, and needs> 675 to move the needle.
31. Adam Melling has secured 19357 of his current 19607, and needs> 1750 to move the needle.
32. Thiago Camarao has secured all 18810 of his current points, and needs> 1250 to move the needle.
33. Dusty Payne has secured 18775 of his current 22625, and needs> 500 to move the needle.
34. Jesse Mendes has secured all 18342 of his current points, and needs> 1200 to move the needle.
35. Yadin Nicol has secured 18200 of his 20607, and needs only> 380 to move the needle, but is injured. *
36. Chris Davidson has secured 17451 of his 21208, and needs> 500 to move the needle.
37. Matt Wilkinson has secured 16800 of his 20900, and needs> 700 to move the needle.
38. Taylor Knox has secured 16279 of his 24300, and needs> 500 to move the needle.
39. Tanner Gudauskas has secured 15670 of his current 18674, and needs> 410 to move the needle.
40. Kieren Perrow has secured 14650 of his current 20900, and needs> 1200 to move the needle.
41. Dan Ros has secured 14000 of his current 18406, and needs> 500 to move the needle.
42. Cory Lopez has secured 12650 of his current 17282, and needs> than 700 to move the needle.
43. Dane Reynolds has secured 8020 of his current 18770, and needs 500 to move the needle.

Keen observers will note that the ground between Raoni Montero and CJ Hobood is extremely slippery, with Dusty Payne and Chris Davidson posing as significant threats as well. Taylor Knox has some serious work to do, as does Matt Wilkinson, Kieren Perrow and Dan Ross.

More to come…