What Impact Will Strong El Niño Have On Farmer’s Almanac Forecast?
Summer is coming to an end and many are beginning to look forward to winter. After a disappointing winter last year (except you on the East Coast), snowboarders across the country have their fingers crossed for a cold and snowy winter.
The Farmer’s Almanac was first published in 1818. The winter forecast formula is the same one that was first created by their first editor David Young back in 1818. A top-secret formula passed down for nearly 200 years, the formula has made long-range forecasts at a nearly 85% accuracy rate. The predictions are made 16 months in advance of their release.
I will tell you that many of your readers will be happy with our outlook"
– Farmers' Almanac's Managing Editor, Sandi Duncan
Unlike local news and meteorologists, once the prediction is made the editors never go back to change or update their findings from the formula.
Last week the NOAA officially upgraded El Niño 2015-2016 from moderate to strong. Many experts are predicting that this El Niño could be the strongest on record. Forecasts are now expecting the storm to run through early Spring 2016. Read the full NOAA report released August 13th. We will learn more about the impacts of this storm as we draw nearer to winter 2015-2016. Check out the article written On The Snow meteorologist Chris Tomer on what exactly this storm means for different regions of the United States.
Winter is still months away but riders, brands, and resorts remain hopeful for promising conditions this year. It appears that California and SW Colorado could receive some much needed precipation after a dry winter last year. People across the industry remain unsure what the implications of the strong El Niño this year will be on winter conditions. However, initial reports from sources at the Farmer’s Almanac are keeping spirits high. Christmas may come early if the Farmer’s Almanac predicts abundant snow this Winter. Cross your fingers and stay tuned for more information!